Disgusting-Recapitulation
0xcec4a36efa6a8464190c23f8550d761d760733df
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$32.60
Total PnL
$-41.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$20.83
$15.83
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.76
$9.76
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
86 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025?
27 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Nov 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?$10.00Nov 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$2.00Nov 7, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$5.00Nov 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?$0.07Feb 28, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?$17.65Feb 26, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before March?$2.00Feb 22, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?$1.00Feb 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025?$6.00Feb 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?$3.00Feb 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$15.00Feb 14, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$42.51Feb 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$20.00Feb 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$20.00Feb 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$14.00Feb 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$21.20Feb 10, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSuper Bowl LIX Winner$104.06Feb 10, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuper Bowl LIX Winner$50.00Feb 9, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $18.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.