Old-Fashioned-Claw
0xcec68c14b991b7772cf97223165351dbde99ea7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.46
Total PnL
$-2.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Canada recession in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
2 shares @ 87.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanada recession in 2025?$2.00Nov 24, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$3.00Nov 24, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?$340.66Oct 17, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?$341.00Oct 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?$341.66Oct 14, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?$342.00Oct 14, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?$2.00Sep 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Schiff federally charged by December 31?$1.00Sep 24, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEM Will Tether acquire Circle before September?$1.02Sep 24, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.28Sep 24, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Elon baby before July?$2.11Sep 24, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$2.32Sep 24, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Tether acquire Circle before September?$1.00Jun 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$2.00Jun 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Elon baby before July?$2.00Jun 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by June 30?$1.04Jun 5, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ja Morant lead the NBA in Assists?$1.00Jun 5, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $45.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 05:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".