Mellow-Assumption
0xcecd53f070c36e01669f7e4ff26a4425cc9c7ea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$80.00
Total PnL
$7.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$2.05
- NO
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.32
- NO
Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$1.60
- NO
Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.17
- NO
Will Rumble buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.22
- NO
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
5 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.27
- NO
Will X buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.00
$0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$0.00May 20, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 14?$0.00May 20, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$341.46May 20, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$333.15May 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$0.03May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$3.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$5.20May 14, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 14?$3.00May 14, 13:24 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 14?$5.00May 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$67.25May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$3.94May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$6.91May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$78.00May 8, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on April 30?$0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens $0.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on April 30?$15.00May 6, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.