Lined-Pilaf
0xced010f56e34916cd4ebaf97cc75f1329b69c433
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.99
Realised
$-15.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
4533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1999 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1812 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
675 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.88
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in January?
343 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.49
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
288 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
4 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 11, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.90Mar 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$9.40Mar 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$9.60Mar 2, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.00Mar 2, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$6.06Mar 2, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?$1.40Mar 2, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$21.89Mar 2, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$19.51Feb 9, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.3KFeb 9, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.50Feb 2, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$4.04Feb 2, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$4.02Feb 2, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$11.99Jan 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$67.03Jan 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.13Jan 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$9.89Jan 24, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.54Jan 24, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$61.86Jan 24, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$84.48Jan 24, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.