Violet-Secretary
0xced18e8e68c37cae3b714ca4116ed8bef996280e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-500.25
Realised
$4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-1.77
- YES
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
1800 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.99
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
938 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-180.53
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
900 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 1?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?
189 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$49.51May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$100.00May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.00May 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$49.00May 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$101.48May 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$146.07May 8, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$232.50Apr 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$2.01Apr 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLFed abolished before 2027?$1.39Apr 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$8.05Mar 16, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$1.00Mar 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNipah virus in US by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$3.00Mar 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 13, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South Australian Liberal Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$2.00Mar 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished before 2027?$2.00Mar 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?$2.00Mar 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$2.00Mar 13, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $26.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.