Uncommon-Downstairs
0xced2de40f08815e3c797b0011ed002fcd904e7c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.41
Total PnL
$-4.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- NO
Will Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 25?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.37Apr 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$1.30Apr 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 29, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 25?$1.20Mar 25, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.34Mar 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?$1.30Mar 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.46Mar 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.30Mar 22, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$2.29Mar 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.30Mar 22, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$2.00Mar 21, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 21?$2.07Mar 21, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 21?$2.00Mar 21, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?$2.01Mar 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$2.00Mar 21, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?$2.01Mar 21, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $77.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.