Pleasant-Process
0xced4b04f613daf833e80291cf61e5c3e8bfe145f
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$26.45
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$26.03May 8, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$26.05May 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$25.63Mar 30, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$25.63Dec 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$25.42Nov 20, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$25.42Nov 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$25.37Sep 9, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$25.37Aug 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$25.17Jul 5, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$25.17Jul 5, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$25.07Jun 4, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$5.66Jun 4, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in May?$99.42Jun 4, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in May?$98.92May 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$5.00May 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$103.92May 22, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$104.03May 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$104.03May 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$104.24May 11, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $170 in April?$3.34May 11, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $77.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.