Good-Penalty
0xced75b99dce6f1fb47bc88d0e59725b8d111b7b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$698.99
Total PnL
$94.14
Realised
$86.48
Win rate
97%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
273 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$145.87
$1.36
- NO
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
160 shares @ 83.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$136.79
$3.90
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
124 shares @ 59.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$73.71
$-0.55
- NO
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
206 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$70.95
$-0.09
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
178 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$59.68
$2.67
- NO
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
110 shares @ 45.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$41.18
$-9.03
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
90 shares @ 38.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$34.65
$0.15
- NO
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$27.75
$0.15
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.38
$1.26
- NO
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
25 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$14.19
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$18.96Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$4.68Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$15.90Jun 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$6.00Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$5.44Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$6.56Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$6.00Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$5.44Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$2.32Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$3.84Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$3.06Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$3.00Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$3.00Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$1.50Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$0.92Jun 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$12.10Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$1.79Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$22.40Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$13.94Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.