Natural-Destruction
0xced8f504fe08027c682144e6ec63c3df08a415aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 6?
203 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 28?
186 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
181 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 30?
173 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 29?
148 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?
131 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5PM ET
124 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 21?
113 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 July 13-19?
111 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?
104 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 1?$40.65Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 July 13-19?$1.77Jul 19, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$195.81Jul 2, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 1?$1.99Jun 1, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$192.87May 30, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$21.45May 23, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 20?$37.25May 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$2.92May 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$1.74May 10, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 1?$66.83May 10, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 6 2026?$148.80May 2, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?$0.00Apr 25, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 20?$35.35Apr 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17?$1.87Apr 16, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 29?$0.00Apr 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 6 2026?$146.12Apr 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 6?$1.53Apr 5, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 23?$198.33Apr 5, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$18.79Apr 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 1?$0.20Mar 31, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $36.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.