Nervous-Heroine
0xcede8a807dd0a718881fe907e7570669038f38ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.26
Total PnL
$-80.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$7.51
$1.29
- YES
Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B?
11 shares @ 49.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.12
$1.95
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.63
$0.38
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
31 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- UNDER
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5
29 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- OVER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5
16 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
15 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
13 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?$6.30Jul 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$6.33Jul 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump meets with Putin by December 31?$8.48Jul 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$5.96Jul 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$4.98Jul 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$10.01Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$5.19Jul 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.94Jul 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$4.98Jul 6, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.25Jul 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$6.37Jul 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$5.21Jul 6, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B?$5.28Jul 5, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$4.93Jul 5, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$20.49Jul 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$9.93Jul 5, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$4.88Jul 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$9.75Jul 3, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$5.99Jul 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$9.88Jul 3, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.