Sure-Footed-Abbreviation
0xcedf0b3574d0776a36710be3aaa4f3425be610e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-50.56
Win rate
3%
100 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
125 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
35 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
34 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
31 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
31 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.60
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-28.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
30 shares @ 92.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.55Aug 16, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.00Aug 16, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$19.07Aug 16, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$30.00Aug 16, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$20.00Aug 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$19.07Aug 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$28.60Aug 16, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.98Aug 16, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$10.00Aug 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$9.44Aug 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$8.91Aug 16, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$8.24Aug 16, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$20.00Aug 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$19.40Aug 16, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Aug 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$19.25Aug 16, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$30.00Aug 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$27.60Aug 16, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 100 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
100 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 100 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.