Intentional-Engagement
0xcee6b99b9ae4139d4776e4408a6faf29a9898233
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$5.7K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
88%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
3769 shares @ 79.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$3.3K
$295.59
- NO
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
3315 shares @ 72.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$2.9K
$521.16
- NO
Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
2057 shares @ 90.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$2.0K
$105.07
- NO
Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
1867 shares @ 84.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$1.8K
$171.62
- NO
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
2629 shares @ 40.2¢·now 54.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$363.65
- YES
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
1367 shares @ 58.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$895.38
$102.49
- YES
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
1085 shares @ 44.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$699.58
$216.54
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?
744 shares @ 52.3¢·now 83.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$624.22
$235.31
- YES
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
505 shares @ 77.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$396.74
$5.59
- YES
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
1711 shares @ 9.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$316.49
$162.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$18.69Aug 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$22.43Aug 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$22.43Aug 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$178.00Aug 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$18.69Aug 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$10.60Aug 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?$84.06Aug 18, 00:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.73Aug 18, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.40Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$39.94Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$585.20Aug 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$629.66Aug 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$48.98Aug 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$4.28Aug 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$17.80Aug 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$780.83Aug 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$25.01Aug 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$7.70Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$152.25Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$30.49Aug 17, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $176.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 01:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.