Warlike-Reasoning
0xcee8a639bb1d314e7a6f6488ac3d46b893cc57b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-147.99
Realised
$5.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$57.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
292 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.58
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
124 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.20
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
100 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
100 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHyperunit backed by Paradigm in 2025?$3.00Oct 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$43.00Oct 27, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 27?$8.40Oct 27, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0.12Oct 26, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.53Oct 26, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.22Oct 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0.72Oct 26, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?$0.72Oct 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?$0.08Oct 26, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.70 and $2.80 on October 26?$1.28Oct 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Oct 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$2.00Oct 26, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?$8.67Oct 26, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$0.07May 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$3.13May 25, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$2.40May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$1.00May 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$2.00May 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?$0.03May 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?$0.42May 20, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".