Zesty-Trash
0xceee5b3a06b6364db648464741d5ad042d2dd39e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.8K
Total PnL
$-65.4K
Realised
$251.71
Win rate
73%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
4846 shares @ 91.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.1K
$-313.77
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
4459 shares @ 86.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$12.59
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
5171 shares @ 81.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.6K
$-1.6K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
2922 shares @ 77.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$300.72
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
2174 shares @ 88.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.0K
$84.08
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
2089 shares @ 91.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-391.79
- NO
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
1424 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.4K
$-6.78
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
9983 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$444.26
$-154.74
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
1474 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$250.56
$-73.69
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
20000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$97.80Jul 27, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$64.46Jul 27, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?$38.20Jul 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$56.42Jul 17, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?$202.77Jul 17, 18:29 UTC
- REWARD$2.02Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance out as VP by December 31?$94.00Jul 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance out as VP by December 31?$93.00Jul 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance out as VP by December 31?$147.35Jul 11, 12:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.52Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.52Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.15Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMMobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season$0.26Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMMobile Legends Bang Bang: AC Esports vs Selangor Red Giants (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season$0.61Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)$0.82Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$0.84Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ODDIK Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage$250.00Jul 10, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?$1.0KJul 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$465.20Jul 10, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$55.15Jul 10, 06:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $235.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.