Glaring-Doubter
0xceef5986825c5fc48589cf134609fc1820f1c569
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.39
Total PnL
$-4.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$2.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 - April 5 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump post "Pahlavi" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Plastic Egg" this week? (April 5)
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 54.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.71
$-0.59
- UNDER
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$1.34Apr 12, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$1.69Apr 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$1.30Apr 6, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Plastic Egg" this week? (April 5)$1.30Apr 5, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Pahlavi" on Truth Social this week?$1.30Apr 5, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 - April 5 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?$1.30Apr 5, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Mar 30, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 30, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.32Mar 27, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$1.30Mar 25, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.37Mar 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.30Mar 22, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?$2.05Mar 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.30Mar 22, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMHigh Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$2.32Mar 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.30Mar 22, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.