Bleak-Ladybug
0xcef54777330a0f1c7766f585447634d72857c4e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$101.44
Total PnL
$-19.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 26?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 26?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.12
$0.05
- NO
Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.07Mar 25, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$11.00Mar 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.00Mar 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$20.00Mar 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 26?$20.00Mar 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?$20.00Mar 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 26?$20.00Mar 25, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $295?$5.01Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$14.06Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.08Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$20.10Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?$20.14Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.28Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?$21.40Mar 25, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?$21.38Jan 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?$20.00Jan 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $24.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.