Pesky-Beggar
0xcef6d9ef5a7cbe3f0926bc5cc998a0fadb184775
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$17.78
Total PnL
$-30.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
18 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.78
$9.78
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during Merz events on June 5?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
24 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Drone" during Merz events on June 5?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$8.00Jan 24, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$10.20Jan 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Drone" during Merz events on June 5?$10.00Jun 5, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during Merz events on June 5?$10.00Jun 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$18.82Mar 4, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$20.00Mar 4, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $12.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".