Stiff-Immigrant
0xcef78270c87bcbd1916ec18c8bea2aa6cf5c7d27
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.78
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
312 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-77.90
- NO
Trump approval >45% on June 1?
304 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
160 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
107 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
57 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.35
- YES
2025 May hottest on record?
35 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$12.35Mar 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$7.00Mar 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$77.90Oct 14, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$50.00Oct 14, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$127.90Oct 14, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$47.10Oct 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$50.00Oct 8, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$96.30Oct 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$52.00Sep 18, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30?$0.00Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,800 on May 30?$0.00Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30?$0.00Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 30?$50.00Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 30?$0.00Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,800 on May 30?$16.10May 29, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30?$5.00May 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 30?$5.00May 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30?$10.00May 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 30?$10.00May 29, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $26.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".