Advanced-Parcel
0xcefce50a9e29528e256c9ec257dd62959f5e83dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$592.59
Total PnL
$0.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$592.00Mar 27, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$132.13Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$132.00Oct 23, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$124.12Oct 23, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$124.00Sep 21, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$125.13Sep 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$125.00Jun 28, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$129.13Jun 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$129.00May 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$230.23May 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$230.00Apr 23, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$232.46Apr 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$232.00Mar 20, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$237.24Mar 20, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$237.00Mar 15, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Warriors$258.09Mar 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Warriors$255.25Mar 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$235.71Mar 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$235.00Mar 2, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by February 28, 2025?$232.46Mar 2, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $187.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.