Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain
0xcf017c040a616470ce479286c650eab998d03b2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.07
Realised
$23.58
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?
104 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 9?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 8?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
29 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?
29 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13?
2 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$21.88Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$56.00Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 13?$30.00Jul 13, 16:40 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$867.00Jul 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$374.70Jul 13, 13:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6.1KJul 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$559.24Jul 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$588.63Jul 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.4KJul 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4.92Jul 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$22.96Jul 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.87Jul 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$62.79Jul 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.52Jul 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4.1KJul 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$29.50Jul 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$26.50Jul 13, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $482.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.