Important-Editorial
0xcf0500a109a666ae3b0fc14d14df6724496eb393
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$61.47
Total PnL
$-19.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.00
$20.00
- NO
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$15.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$11.00Mar 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$5.00Mar 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by February 28?$15.00Feb 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.65Feb 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$4.00Feb 13, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$2.00Feb 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$2.00Jan 29, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$3.00Jan 18, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$3.00Jan 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$22.35Jan 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$10.00Jan 14, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.