Arid-Flavor
0xcf0daf3ab189cf4674979c59e730953aefe3d66f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$74.36
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
103 shares @ 58.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$74.36
$14.87
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20538 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
1212 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-799.90
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
287 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-272.91
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$60.49Jun 4, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$147.60May 26, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$108.62May 25, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Knicks$268.40May 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$189.57May 19, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$15.18May 5, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$15.22Apr 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$12.40Apr 28, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$12.39Apr 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$7.28Apr 24, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$7.28Apr 24, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$5.86Apr 21, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.86Apr 21, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)$4.28Apr 16, 06:05 UTC
- REWARD$4.28Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$272.91Apr 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$0.00Apr 4, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$277.88Apr 4, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$226.20Mar 27, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$37.78Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $147.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".