Hard-Speculation
0xcf104f8b74006b3a5375235862686961384fd318
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-371.62
Realised
$718.25
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- USA
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$100.00
$7.00
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
6774 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-258.76
- DUCKS
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
5000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-156.41
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?
3000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-210.08
- DUCKS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights
364 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-144.42
- NO
Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
268 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-102.90
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- WILD
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild
195 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-44.19
- UNDER
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
100 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- DUCKS
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
100 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?$4.25May 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?$37.15May 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.09May 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDucks vs. Golden Knights$105.66May 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLDucks vs. Golden Knights$105.66May 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Golden Knights$30.79May 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Golden Knights$27.50May 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights $3.92May 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights $15.50May 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights $25.38May 13, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$9.58May 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Golden Knights$46.75May 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$91.34May 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$4.09May 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$1.66May 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$54.31May 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?$15.60May 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?$0.06May 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$87.77May 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?$1.93May 12, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.