Relieved-Pot
0xcf1800761ea37189c5cd3f7f469b19882aba329b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYReal Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5$133.01Apr 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$3.04Apr 11, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?$7.04Apr 11, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$9.06Apr 11, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?$7.00Mar 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$9.00Mar 5, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.03Mar 5, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$5.09Mar 5, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in February?$8.03Mar 5, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$9.05Mar 5, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.00Feb 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in February?$8.00Feb 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$9.00Feb 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$1.87Feb 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$2.32Feb 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?$2.59Feb 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$2.30Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$1.80Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $15.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.