0xcf1cab4d34e591ae288a6cdaf3ea2c643283b366
0xcf1cab4d34e591ae288a6cdaf3ea2c643283b366
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$114.85
Total PnL
$-6.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?
43 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$42.98
$18.47
- YES
Will "Senate" be in the headlines this week?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$31.50
$21.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?
26 shares @ 45.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$25.88
$14.01
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.84
$0.85
- YES
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?
6 shares @ 83.1¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$3.84
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.90
$-4.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.50
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 23?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.15
$-3.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 23?
250 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.13
$-6.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?
110 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.06
$-11.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?$0.65Jul 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?$0.11Jul 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 23?$4.34Jul 23, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$0.97Jul 23, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$0.59Jul 23, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$0.09Jul 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$0.59Jul 23, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 23?$8.43Jul 23, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$1.05Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?$12.20Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 23?$3.36Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 23?$1.40Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 23?$3.68Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$3.77Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 23?$11.57Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?$25.04Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 23?$3.01Jul 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?$8.60Jul 23, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?$9.50Jul 22, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.