Serene-Shallot
0xcf26f15d4ec3fea9e800517e855466c5db58bb2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$62.99
Total PnL
$-13.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$14.99
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?
14 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.79
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$12.93
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 3?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$11.00
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or higher on April 28?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$9.99
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.21
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?
13 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.07
$-0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.01
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 22?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?$0.00Jun 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?$0.05Jun 6, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?$0.03Jun 6, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?$0.06Jun 6, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 7?$13.87Jun 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?$0.06Jun 5, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?$0.20Jun 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?$12.75Jun 5, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?$13.00Jun 4, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?$0.02Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?$0.05Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?$0.02Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?$0.07Jun 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?$14.86Jun 4, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?$14.00Jun 3, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?$0.26Jun 3, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?$12.75Jun 3, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?$11.00Jun 3, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?$14.84Jun 3, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?$11.00Jun 2, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.