Polished-Quail
0xcf30473535eced9f1e534cabe94e8d1662a76194
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1269 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
762 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
327 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.16
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
250 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
218 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-69.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
186 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-49.86
- PSG
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$0.00Mar 24, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$1.8KMar 24, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$199.90Mar 23, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$99.95Mar 23, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$73.63Mar 5, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$9.30Mar 5, 01:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Mar 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$2.09Mar 4, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$1.89Mar 4, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$32.71Mar 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$7.76Mar 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$2.40Mar 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$1.92Mar 4, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$7.38Mar 4, 14:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Mar 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$5.55Mar 3, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$22.98Mar 3, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$14.54Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$4.58Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$19.42Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $45.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 24, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".