Fantastic-Plowman
0xcf30597db6544f5b4e92934b40cff3bd930ae15e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?
283 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11?
275 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 3?
274 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 7?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 9?
271 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 10?
270 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 8?
269 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 5?
254 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 16?
236 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?
231 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$88.57Jul 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$86.44Jul 11, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$103.75Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$102.40May 31, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$1.20May 30, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$91.38May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$0.13May 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$89.06May 21, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 15?$81.50May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 15?$79.87May 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 7?$1.30May 7, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$17.92May 7, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 20?$90.33Apr 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$16.49Apr 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 20?$87.71Apr 20, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$24.91Apr 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$1.71Apr 14, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 6?$77.28Apr 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.42Apr 6, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$21.50Apr 6, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $31.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.