Burly-Racer
0xcf3486678b32d5c890cb5fb77f758fc188d19a33
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$122.23
Total PnL
$0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
66 shares @ 91.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.59
$3.78
- NO
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
27 shares @ 75.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$26.38
$6.24
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?
23 shares @ 86.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.38
$2.81
- NO
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 73.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jun 24, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$2.96Jun 23, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$3.05Jun 22, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.32Jun 22, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$1.64Jun 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 19, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$54.81Jun 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Jun 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Jun 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Jun 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$1.00Jun 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.49Jun 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.14Jun 17, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 17, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMJosé Manuel López: 2+ assists$1.02Jun 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$0.45Jun 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.00Jun 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1.00Jun 16, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.