Meager-Railroad
0xcf35a86302c121718765538a092600a572ab8033
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.6K
Realised
$-14.6K
Win rate
6%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
6435 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-474.96
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
3704 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
1928 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-633.75
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?
1463 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
1424 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-48.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1410 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
1396 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
1395 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-429.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
1328 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-453.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
1300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-350.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03May 24, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.62May 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.47May 24, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.41May 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$12.33May 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.39May 24, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.69May 24, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.29May 24, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$33.42May 24, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.34May 24, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$52.83May 24, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.40May 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.29May 24, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$64.60May 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$64.19May 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$9.40May 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.90May 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$52.27May 24, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$52.13May 24, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$53.27May 24, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
197 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.