0xcf40834174ddc474c82f5b4cd6f1faba63c0e5bb
0xcf40834174ddc474c82f5b4cd6f1faba63c0e5bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.22
Total PnL
$-92.88
Realised
$-25.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-0.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?
3017 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
213 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
145 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$17.00Feb 23, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.80Feb 22, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$0.26Feb 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$23.69Feb 9, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$49.00Feb 5, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $80 in February?$51.87Feb 5, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in February?$43.00Feb 5, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$16.00Jan 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00Jan 10, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$45.94Jan 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $20.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.