Grand-Formicarium
0xcf40c5c797d4c8e233bd0d751ff59425761731ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.55
Total PnL
$-277.24
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$-4.60
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.36
$-4.64
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-7.20
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
1050 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
1001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
222 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-152.34
- YES
Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
133 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
68 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
24 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 3, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 17, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 13, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 20, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$10.00Jan 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 17, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".