Truthful-Waitress
0xcf4b7058a0cd05c20b72449660ad28e9bc35112b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.71
Total PnL
$-0.65
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$5.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.51
$0.90
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 26.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.20
$0.88
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
169 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
78 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- CHELSEA FC
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?$0.10Jan 1, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5$5.00Dec 31, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$1.00Dec 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.10Dec 29, 05:56 UTC
- MERGEFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 22, 10:18 UTC
- SPLITFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 22, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 17, 08:00 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed decision in January?$1.20Dec 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:30 UTC
- MERGEFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:21 UTC
- SPLITFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 06:14 UTC
- SPLITFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.50Dec 14, 05:42 UTC
- MERGENo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.28Dec 14, 05:24 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.61Dec 14, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 14, 05:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.00Dec 13, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".