Tragic-Microphone
0xcf5042d604b2590788bba50c99cfe7818ed4df22
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.65
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 9.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.65
$-0.53
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3312 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
196 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.18Apr 1, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)$2.13Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.03Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.04Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)$2.00Feb 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.00Feb 7, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.00Feb 7, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 7, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Feb 7, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Feb 7, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 12, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.01Dec 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.00Dec 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 28, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Nov 14, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Nov 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$166.10Nov 14, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $584.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".