Difficult-Knock
0xcf525fe50920773eaf7cd490248e97b842963020
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$85.13
Total PnL
$-125.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$55.80
$0.06
- NO
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?
1477 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
1400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?
803 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?
780 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?
752 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 13?
655 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$55.75May 31, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$55.76May 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$55.70May 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?$54.94May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?$55.01May 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$6.65May 30, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$14.30May 30, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?$12.02May 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 28?$12.02May 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $480?$52.65May 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $480?$52.54May 29, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$15.00May 29, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$67.54May 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$67.41May 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?$12.00May 28, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$79.44May 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$79.36May 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 28?$12.00May 27, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$90.88May 27, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$91.02May 27, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $68.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.