Puzzling-Fish
0xcf569af319392d84dfbaf0329132c0593ec63f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-628.36
Realised
$-54.37
Win rate
1%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
3019 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
1366 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
431 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.22
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
425 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-80.75
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
258 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
121 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$2.10Jul 26, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1.05Jul 26, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1.05Jul 26, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.14Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.25Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.27Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.29Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.32Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.36Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.38Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.52Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.54Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.73Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.13Jul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.70Jul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.43Jul 18, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.83Jul 18, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.43Jul 18, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$2.04Jul 18, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$3.53Jul 18, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
82 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.