Major-Jewel
0xcf56d4fe5cf915f855b6bdc496e8f9fa69ebee5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$220.58
Total PnL
$-60.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
150 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$142.05
$-1.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
50 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.23
$-0.07
- YES
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$14.70
$-0.90
- YES
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 43.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$5.53
$2.27
- NO
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
40 shares @ 16.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$4.60
$-2.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14 shares @ 36.9¢·now 25.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$-1.54
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
150 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-44.97
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
25 shares @ 17.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.31
$-3.99
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-7.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$28.00Jun 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$47.50Jun 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$47.55Jun 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$48.00Jun 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$0.48Jun 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$2.72Jun 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$3.40Jun 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$49.30Jun 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$14.40Jun 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$14.60Jun 18, 03:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.43Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$73.03Jun 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$94.90Jun 16, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$21.87Jun 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$47.10Jun 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$13.00Jun 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$1.29Jun 15, 01:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$3.11Jun 14, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $33.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.