Different-Hepatitis
0xcf5c102bb82accbc1f47870b3252022887db8232
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-78.78
Win rate
0%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
5311 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-104.99
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ACEND
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
871 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.03
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
806 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
602 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
599 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
568 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
467 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$19.87Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Argentina to score first vs. Spain?$10.00Jul 19, 18:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$429.83Jul 15, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$800.00Jul 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$52.34Jul 15, 20:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Jul 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.07Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.34Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$106.07Jul 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$103.15Jul 11, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
54 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $45.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.