Capital-Punch
0xcf65120764a91102b6e89ac1ce4c30b15cfbd2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$12.49
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
165 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
161 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
142 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
133 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
131 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
131 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.30Jul 23, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.92Jul 23, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.53Jul 23, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Jul 23, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.96Jul 23, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.01Jul 23, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.