Creamy-Crook
0xcf67c7e0833a1e15c59661447412fe437353de19
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-49.30
Win rate
12%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
1157 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1154 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-44.88
- PULYAEV
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
917 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
558 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
540 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
469 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-123.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
306 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-16.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.96Mar 23, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.04Mar 21, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.20Mar 21, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$3.36Mar 21, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.32Mar 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$3.60Mar 21, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.24Mar 21, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$7.88Mar 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.08Mar 21, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$7.93Mar 21, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.91Mar 21, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$3.12Mar 21, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.