Alarmed-Casino
0xcf6e3b8b8c48edd2ea84e557db97ed85e45a2197
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$109.20
Total PnL
$-27.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$68.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.20
$-1.20
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
400 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$14.00Jun 12, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$18.66Jun 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$131.43Jun 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$50.93Jun 12, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6.00Jun 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$37.50Jun 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1.50Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$9.00Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6.00Jun 11, 18:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.60Jun 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$108.77Jun 10, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$53.81Jun 2, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$717.87May 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$8.33May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$32.00May 16, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.