Roasted-Raft
0xcf70ab83339938f744048460d2d5866136538f19
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-36.38
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.60
$5.80
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.65
$1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?
219 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-72.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?
176 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
163 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-66.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?
142 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
138 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-67.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?
121 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?
112 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
106 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-47.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$3.58Jun 12, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$10.05Jun 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$51.09Jun 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$14.74Jun 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$13.88Jun 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$89.98Jun 8, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$5.00Jun 2, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$8.00Jun 1, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$13.00Jun 1, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$4.96Jun 1, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$17.00Jun 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$0.58Jun 1, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.99Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.85Jun 1, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.85Jun 1, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.87Jun 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.88Jun 1, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?$9.15May 31, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?$4.05May 31, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$1.58May 31, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.