Menacing-Hope
0xcf7c3d0c796b2aaaccfd613236431a0ec7cdf2cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
25000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.54
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
9999 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-223.49
- YES
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?
6585 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-156.07
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
6000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.19
- NO
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?
6000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-221.99
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
6000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-97.40
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
5300 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-207.82
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.34
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
5000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-165.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2.63Apr 30, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$0.38Apr 30, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$7.00Apr 30, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.00Apr 30, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Syria on July 23?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Syria on July 22?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Syria on July 21?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Apr 30, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Damascus by September 30?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 5?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?$0.00Apr 30, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $24.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".