Dense-Invoice
0xcf7dafd56caab3a42bf76c1ecbf37e6cfc3bd61b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$18.47
Total PnL
$5.40
Realised
$28.20
Win rate
100%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 0.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.01
$4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
1880 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.82
$-0.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.66
$0.33
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
652 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.63
$-1.23
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.00 in July?
365 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.28
$0.11
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
161 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.21
$-0.40
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?
1020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.02
$-0.90
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
390 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.97
$0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
760 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.76
$0.00
- YES
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.20Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.25Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.35Jul 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?$0.17Jul 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$0.02Jul 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$0.02Jul 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$0.02Jul 23, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.44Jul 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.44Jul 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.44Jul 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.03Jul 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$0.04Jul 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.15Jul 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.04Jul 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.05Jul 23, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.