Impressionable-Vice
0xcf7e86c14abe7cda7a491c5f82094786ce762f0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.62
Total PnL
$1.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?
14 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$14.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$3.95
$0.95
- NO
Israel military action against Iran in July?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in July?$3.00Jul 23, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?$14.00Jul 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$3.00Jul 23, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$0.68Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$2.02Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.01Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBournemouth wins the Premier League?$5.01Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$7.44Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?$2.00Mar 28, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$7.31Jan 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$2.00Jan 2, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Raiders win the AFC Championship?$7.02Jan 2, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?$1.07Jan 2, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $200 in December?$0.00Jan 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$7.31Dec 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$0.60Dec 16, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $200 in December?$0.50Dec 16, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$0.00Dec 16, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$0.00Dec 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win La Liga?$6.97Dec 11, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.