Bubbly-Wool
0xcf7fd7509fc02d8ff31e097bde3fe85272b43bf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$222.50
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
500 shares @ 74.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$222.50
$-148.50
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
1500 shares @ 63.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-954.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
1143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1100 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-610.00
- YES
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
1010 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-419.79
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
893 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-505.16
- YES
Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $125?
600 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-283.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
500 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-125.50
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?
396 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-43.61
- YES
Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-78.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$100.00Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$100.00Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$100.00Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$100.01Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$200.00Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released in 2025?$0.00Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA VI trailer released in 2025?$599.96Apr 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$39.93Jan 29, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$59.00Jan 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$0.63Dec 24, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$49.00Dec 24, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$26.38Dec 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$38.61Dec 20, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?$99.00Dec 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$50.44Dec 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$21.00Dec 7, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$3.90Dec 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELL30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?$11.01Dec 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Israel–Iran conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?$500.00Dec 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$97.21Dec 4, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $46.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".