Smooth-Pond
0xcf8007dd9870f55a99091616989be33bb76e0c0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-258.95
Realised
$7.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 23?
857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
743 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29?
492 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET$33.57Sep 5, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$4.55Sep 5, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$11.44Sep 5, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 4?$2.00Sep 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 4?$5.00Sep 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 4?$5.00Sep 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 4, 9AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET$1.00Sep 4, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seychelles win on 2025-09-03?$1.00Sep 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET$14.23Sep 3, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET$5.00Sep 3, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 31, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".