Curvy-Career
0xcf886b57a5cc9df8a6b9c52ecd63152e7576458a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$110.77
Total PnL
$-573.71
Realised
$-259.50
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of August 10 above $345?
51 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$50.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026?
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$44.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.96
$-0.04
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 29, 2026$2.03
$-0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
1533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1314 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1029 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-265.97
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
867 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
750 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of August 10 above $345?$51.00Aug 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026?$45.00Aug 11, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers$7.41Aug 11, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$99.10Aug 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$99.00Jul 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers$4.09Jul 10, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$103.10Jul 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$103.01Jun 30, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.51Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$90.09Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$90.01May 31, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic$3.00May 31, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$13.00May 31, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$106.11May 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$106.01May 30, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.50May 30, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 28?$10.11May 30, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$108.22May 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$108.00May 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 28?$10.10May 28, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $72.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.