Knotty-Cardboard
0xcf8978304f7859f83eba9664e7b8cefe68531e2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.08
Realised
$14.28
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 16-22?
2522 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 16?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
158 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9PM ET
58 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET$11.45Mar 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$6.52Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$7.64Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 8, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$13.21Mar 8, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.38Mar 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.61Mar 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.15Mar 8, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$10.00Mar 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.56Mar 8, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.00Mar 8, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$10.00Mar 7, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?$10.00Mar 7, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$17.28Mar 5, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.00Mar 5, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.99Mar 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$0.24Mar 5, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".