Grown-Dirndl
0xcf8b0556293ad15fbb0e1d6242825ccfb79b6ffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
20611 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
10006 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
3894 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
3800 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$497.00Nov 5, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$900.00Nov 5, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14$125.00Nov 5, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$1.8KNov 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$1.9KNov 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$4.49Nov 5, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $858.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.